All Recorded Crime in England and Wales<\/p><\/div>\n
I was very wary at the start to draw hasty conclusions, but with 5 months of totalled data, we do seem to have something of a trend.<\/p>\n
There is still much to learn though. What I don’t know for example;<\/p>\n
Is there a seasonal\/temperature variation, i.e. more crime in better weather and longer daylight hours?<\/p>\n
But that’s just the point – the more data we feed in to the database, the more we can determine relationships and meaning from it.<\/p>\n
We have reached these figures in the chart above – see breakdown on our National Picture page<\/a> – by totalling the data stream for streets by Police Forces from www.police.uk\/data<\/a> and trust them not to go back and change it.<\/p>\n Initially, we were using neighbourhood crime totals but we had to stop because every so often – in several hundred cases – the police neighbourhood boundaries were redrawn, the neighbourhoods renamed and all the historical crimes were lost !<\/p>\n This way – using street – i.e. boundary free data – we can be sure that the historical data remains cast in stone.<\/p>\n Now back to the main point. My gut feeling is that 5 months isn’t quite enough but 12 months of data would really give us a very clear picture of what’s happening.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" How many months makes a trend? I was very wary at the start to draw hasty conclusions, but with 5 months of totalled data, we do seem to have something of a trend. There is still much to learn though. … Continue reading